Rasmussen Poll: Perry 48% White 44%
in the seven weeks since incumbent Rick Perry won the Republican Primary, there has been little change in the race for Governor of Texas.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely Texas voters finds Perry with 48% support. His Democratic opponent, former Houston Mayor Bill White, picks up 44% of the vote, his best showing to date. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) remain undecided.
A month ago, just after beating back Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison’s GOP Primary challenge, Perry led White 49% to 43%.
Any incumbent who earns less than 50% support at this stage of a campaign is considered potentially vulnerable.
Perry has hit 50% only once so far this year, in January just after White announced his candidacy.
The Rasmussen Reports Media Meter shows that most press coverage of both candidates has been negative in the week prior to release of this poll. Media Meter results are updated daily at RasmussenReports.com/Texas along with the latest polling and other Texas news.
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Opposition to the just-passed national health care plan is even higher in Texas than it is nationally.
Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Texas voters favor repeal of the health care plan while just 28% are opposed.
These figures include 58% who strongly favor repeal and 23% who strongly oppose it.
Perry picks up 75% of the votes of those who strongly favor repeal. White gets 89% of the votes of the smaller group who are strongly opposed.
The incumbent who is seeking an unprecedented third term as governor holds a slight lead among male voters and breaks roughly even among women. Voters not affiliated with either party give Perry a modest five-point edge over White.
White is viewed very favorably by 21% of Texas voters and very unfavorably by 16%.
For Perry, very favorables are 20% and very unfavorables 22%.
Both candidates are well-known in the state, but at this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.
Ten percent (10%) of Texas voters rate the economy as good or excellent. Forty percent (40%) think it’s in poor shape.
Thirty-two percent (32%) say the economy is getting better, while 46% believe it’s getting worse. Eighteen percent (18%) say it’s staying about the same.
John McCain carried Texas over Barack Obama by a 55% to 44% margin in November 2008. Forty-two percent (42%) of voters in the state now approve of the job Obama is performing as president. Approval of Obama is lower in Texas than it is nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters in Texas currently approve of the job Perry is doing as governor, up five points from a month ago. This includes 19% who strongly approve. Forty percent (40%) disapprove of his job performance, including 22% who strongly disapprove.
In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.
In Texas, Rasmussen Reports polled on two races during the 2008 campaign. In the race for president, Rasmussen polling showed McCain leading Obama 54% to 44%. McCain won the state 55% to 44%. In the 2008 Senate race, Rasmussen polling showed John Cornyn leading Richard Noriega 55% to 40%. Cornyn won 55% to 43%.
In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Hutchison winning 60% to 34% over Barbara Radnofsky. Hutchison won 62% to 36%. In that year’s race for governor, the final Rasmussen Reports poll showed Perry leading a four-way race by 11 points with Perry at 36% and Chris Bell at 25%. Perry won by nine, 39% to 30%.