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post #1 of 7 (permalink) Old 11-16-2008, 12:36 PM Thread Starter
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Exclamation Hottest October on record

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/m.../16/do1610.xml

The world has never seen such freezing heat
By Christopher Booker
Last Updated: 12:01am GMT 16/11/2008




A surreal scientific blunder last week raised a huge question mark about the temperature records that underpin the worldwide alarm over global warming. On Monday, Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), which is run by Al Gore's chief scientific ally, Dr James Hansen, and is one of four bodies responsible for monitoring global temperatures, announced that last month was the hottest October on record.

This was startling. Across the world there were reports of unseasonal snow and plummeting temperatures last month, from the American Great Plains to China, and from the Alps to New Zealand. China's official news agency reported that Tibet had suffered its "worst snowstorm ever". In the US, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration registered 63 local snowfall records and 115 lowest-ever temperatures for the month, and ranked it as only the 70th-warmest October in 114 years.

So what explained the anomaly? GISS's computerised temperature maps seemed to show readings across a large part of Russia had been up to 10 degrees higher than normal. But when expert readers of the two leading warming-sceptic blogs, Watts Up With That and Climate Audit, began detailed analysis of the GISS data they made an astonishing discovery. The reason for the freak figures was that scores of temperature records from Russia and elsewhere were not based on October readings at all. Figures from the previous month had simply been carried over and repeated two months running.

The error was so glaring that when it was reported on the two blogs - run by the US meteorologist Anthony Watts and Steve McIntyre, the Canadian computer analyst who won fame for his expert debunking of the notorious "hockey stick" graph - GISS began hastily revising its figures. This only made the confusion worse because, to compensate for the lowered temperatures in Russia, GISS claimed to have discovered a new "hotspot" in the Arctic - in a month when satellite images were showing Arctic sea-ice recovering so fast from its summer melt that three weeks ago it was 30 per cent more extensive than at the same time last year.

A GISS spokesman lamely explained that the reason for the error in the Russian figures was that they were obtained from another body, and that GISS did not have resources to exercise proper quality control over the data it was supplied with. This is an astonishing admission: the figures published by Dr Hansen's institute are not only one of the four data sets that the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) relies on to promote its case for global warming, but they are the most widely quoted, since they consistently show higher temperatures than the others.

If there is one scientist more responsible than any other for the alarm over global warming it is Dr Hansen, who set the whole scare in train back in 1988 with his testimony to a US Senate committee chaired by Al Gore. Again and again, Dr Hansen has been to the fore in making extreme claims over the dangers of climate change. (He was recently in the news here for supporting the Greenpeace activists acquitted of criminally damaging a coal-fired power station in Kent, on the grounds that the harm done to the planet by a new power station would far outweigh any damage they had done themselves.)

Yet last week's latest episode is far from the first time Dr Hansen's methodology has been called in question. In 2007 he was forced by Mr Watts and Mr McIntyre to revise his published figures for US surface temperatures, to show that the hottest decade of the 20th century was not the 1990s, as he had claimed, but the 1930s.

Another of his close allies is Dr Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the IPCC, who recently startled a university audience in Australia by claiming that global temperatures have recently been rising "very much faster" than ever, in front of a graph showing them rising sharply in the past decade. In fact, as many of his audience were aware, they have not been rising in recent years and since 2007 have dropped.

Dr Pachauri, a former railway engineer with no qualifications in climate science, may believe what Dr Hansen tells him. But whether, on the basis of such evidence, it is wise for the world's governments to embark on some of the most costly economic measures ever proposed, to remedy a problem which may actually not exist, is a question which should give us all pause for thought.

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post #2 of 7 (permalink) Old 11-16-2008, 12:38 PM
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That's humorous.

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post #3 of 7 (permalink) Old 11-16-2008, 12:55 PM
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The Onion?


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post #4 of 7 (permalink) Old 11-16-2008, 02:51 PM
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I've got to go search for it but I recall a new science journal publishing an article about how Global Warming is going to save the human race from the impending Ice Age.

It made me rev the Mustang a little more. Gotta make sure I'm doing my part to save humanity.

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post #5 of 7 (permalink) Old 11-16-2008, 03:07 PM
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When you already know the answer to your scientific hypothesis that you are investigating, it is easy to make silly mistakes.
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post #6 of 7 (permalink) Old 11-16-2008, 04:28 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by That_Is_My_El_Camino
The Onion?
Doubtful. Watts and McIntyre are the leading anti-global warming scientists out there. I just did a research paper about global warming and the IPCC listens to a bunch of bullshit that is out there. They believed the hockey stick theory and claimed global warming is true and caused by humans in the 1996 Geneva Convention. These scientists that report to the IPCC are quick to point the finger each time someone discredits their work.

Its funny... the IPCC gets a huge report from hundreds and hundreds of leading scientists about global warming from specialists such as medical doctors, solar physicists, climatologists, etc... and then they make an assessment report. Each group of specialist collaborates with their peers and the assessment report is made. The damn report is so long (each contributor usually puts in 1-10 pages each) that the IPCC doesnt even read it...they get the freaking Cliff's Notes that is 20 pages long and form their own opinions and spout off their political agenda. Many of the contributing scientists that have helped write the assessment reports are members of the Petition Project trying to show that global warming is a sham.

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post #7 of 7 (permalink) Old 11-16-2008, 04:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 8mpg
Doubtful.

...

Its funny...
My point.


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