It is going to be funny to see who wins this thing, especially given the current position of the polls in the media. I have this strange feeling that McCain is going to do a lot better than what people think.
The Denkins vs. Juliani race for NY mayor in the late 80s had a similar situation to what is about to happen here. Essentially Denkins had a 15 point lead in the polls going up to election day but only managed to win by a few points. That situation demonstrates that some people will say they will vote for a minority candidate when asked just to appear to be unbiased or even pledge to vote for them out of white guilt but when they step into the booth all bets are off.