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Join Date: May 2002
Location: Arlington, TX
I've spent the last 2 months combing over Iranian government web sites, inventory manifests, and budget allocations. I've also spent months researching deep into Iranian history and I've read hundreds of pages of dialog and memos from Ahmadinejad. I have several notebooks full of interesting notes.
Basically, to sum up a lot of what I've familiarized myself with.. a few key things are taking place that may seem difficult to see by just reading current events. The Israeli prime minister met with bush in 2004, one of the primary discussions was Lebanon and Hezbollah and their threat to Israel. There are many senior officials that report off the record that the U.S.'s primary concern with an attack on Iran would be Hezbollah's retaliation towards Israel. One of the first steps in a conflict with Iran would be an Israeli attack on Lebanon to eliminate or greatly cripple the impending attack Israel would suffer from the initial strike against Iran. Now, if you haven't shielded yourself.. this already happened... albeit the attack was nerf'd by Israel's incompetent lefty high command, but it was still successful. The next steps in any conflict are to position your naval force within strike range, and increase air support in the region. And naturally if a nuclear attack is a probable, remove ground units from surrounding areas. Just watch for these events if your curious about our stance for war.
You might also find it interesting that U.S. forces on the DMZ in North Korea have been pulled back substantially.
Iran's response to a real impending war will be aggressive naturally, however internally the higher educated youth and progressive voices will become quite worried and apply substantial pressure to the government. Now, Iran has a long history of government coups and if strong enough, could cause a change in Iranian stance... but the government does have its ways of silencing the population.