Originally Posted by SOHC
Blu-Ray will, easily. It's technically similar to HDDVD, but as you stated with Betamax v. VHS, it has far superior storage capacity for more natural, uncompressed audio and video, making it far superior.
Solid state storage may be the future, but the costs need to continue going down before anyone can even consider that. Hell, a Blu-Ray disc holds 40gb of media. That's a fairly expensive ssd, and couple that with the cost of the movie itself, and you've got an expensive movie storage device.
It's not necessarily the capacity that will sell consumers. It's the quality/technology/picture offered. In fact, if you asked 100 viewers about who had the bigger capacity, I'd bet money that no more than 25% would know and why would they? They don't buy for the capacity, they buy for the picture on the screen. It's too costly either way too consider right now as a viable recording media.
Technically speaking, HD-DVD has a better technology via MPEG-4 whilte Blu-Ray is using an inferior technology via MPEG-2.
Instead of typing out a full explanation, I stole this clip from the internet and it's pretty much true.
"Blu-Ray uses MPEG-2 compression on 50gb discs to hold 4 hours of 1920 x 1080 high definition. HD-DVD uses MPEG-4 compression on 30gb discs to hold 4.5 hours of 1920 x 1080 resolution. The difference is that HD-DVD only requires tweaking of SD-DVD assembly lines while Blu-Ray requires entirely new assembly lines. This makes HD-DVD 20 percent cheaper to make. Obviously HD-DVD is superior in terms of prerecorded media.
In terms of recording HD-DVD uses 20gb discs at MPEG-2 to hold 1.5 hours of 1920 x 1080 while Blu-Ray uses 27 GB discs at MPEG-2 hold 2 hours of 1920 x 1080. This does give Blu-Ray an advantage in terms of recording but since HD-DVD-Rs will be 20 percent cheaper then Blu-Rays that kind of balences. "
With all of that being said, I'm not sure who's going to win and so I have both, but with my new laptop I can record blu-rays, so that's a feature that I see being marketed more than the HD-DVD, which is smart for Sony. I also find that a lot of the titles that I personally like are on blu-ray. I also subscribe to net flix, so I don't really buy too many, have less than 25 of both of them together.
I also do believe based on picture quality, that the HD-DVD has a better picture, but that's my opinion and it seems to be backed up with other high-end enthusiast and the technology speaks for itself. Once Sony decides to step up to a better video processing system, then we'll see. Bottom line, there's just not enough difference picture wise to be able to substantially argue either way for 98% of consumers. I think they'll both win out and we'll just start seeing DVD's carrying them in both BD and HD-DVD capacities, but that maybe wishful thinking.